Compiled by Vincent Feb. 25, 2003
from http://www.thewizardofodds.com/game/bj.html (ACT
provided this link)
MASTER CHART
This chart summarizes all the above charts and maximizes your odds at winning at the casinos.
Dealer | ||||||||||
Player |
2
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10
|
A
|
2-7 |
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
8 |
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
9 |
H
|
D
|
D
|
D
|
D
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
10 |
D
|
D
|
D
|
D
|
D
|
D
|
D
|
D
|
H
|
H
|
11 |
D
|
D
|
D
|
D
|
D
|
D
|
D
|
D
|
D
|
H
|
12 |
H
|
H
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
13 |
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
14 |
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
15 |
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
Y
|
H
|
16 |
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
H
|
H
|
Y
|
Y
|
Y
|
17-21 |
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
A,2 |
H (noD)
|
H
|
H
|
D
|
D
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
A,3 |
H
|
H
|
H
|
D
|
D
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
A,4 |
H
|
H
|
D
|
D
|
D
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
A,5 |
H
|
H
|
D
|
D
|
D
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
A,6 |
H
|
D
|
D
|
D
|
D
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
A,7 |
S
|
D
|
D
|
D
|
D
|
S
|
S
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
A,8 |
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
A,9 |
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
2,2 |
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
3,3 |
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
4,4 |
H
|
H
|
H
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
5,5 |
D
|
D
|
D
|
D
|
D
|
D
|
D
|
D
|
H
|
H
|
6,6 |
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
7,7 |
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
H
|
8,8 |
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
9,9 |
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
S
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
S
|
S
|
10,10 |
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
S
|
A,A |
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
SPL
|
H=Hit, S=Stand, SPL=Split, Y=Surrender, D=Double Down
(WST: hands in RED
are unusual scenarios)
(in Yahoo games one can split on all face cards combination which can be more
advantageous).
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hit or Stand on soft hands?
Doubling Down Strategy Casinos have different rules for doubling down; usually you can only double
down after you receive your initial two cards and before you draw a third card,
but some casinos only allow the option on certain hand values (usually 9, 10 or
11).
Hard Hand Rules for Doubling Down Soft Hand Rules for Doubling Down Splitting Pairs Strategy All other splitting decisions are made depending on the dealer's face-up card
in general split when the dealer is showing a low value face-up card. Split
when:
Surrendering When playing multiple deck blackjack games you should only surrender when:
When playing two deck Blackjack games you should only surrender when:
Insurance ========================== The purpose of this
page is to build upon the Beginner strategy with some more in depth strategies. We're not at card
counting yet at this stage but given probabilities of available cards coming up
many different studies have come up with the same basic matrix detailing the
best move given the cards at hand. The matrix shows you what to do in a given
situation depending on what cards you and the dealer have showing. These
strategy tables can be taken to Vegas the pit bosses don't mind. They get upset
with counters not people who follow this basic blackjack strategy. The player who
applies the blackjack strategy found in the tables below reduces the house
advantage to between 1 and 2 percent. Here are the
options you have in various situations during a hand of Blackjack: Hitting or
Standing First rule is to
always consider the dealers card showing not just your own cards when making a
decision. In other words don't always take a card if you have a low hand the
dealer may have a very weak hand that may lead to the dealer busting. Here are
the basics for hitting or standing on a hard hand. S=Stand, H=Hit Doubling down To optimize your probabilities of winning you have to
take advantage when you have a strong hand. It's the primary means of offsetting
the house advantage. Casino rules vary on what type of hands you can double down
on but the following chart shows when to take advantage in all situations given
a Hard-hand.: D=Double Down, X=Don't Double Soft-hand strategy A soft hand (an Ace in your cards) affects your
decision to take a hit. It is called "soft" because the Ace can be
changed from a n 11 to a one if necessary. Taking hits with a soft hand is less
risky than a Hard-hand. The following chart outlines what you should do with an
Ace in your hand: S=Stand, H=Hit Soft-hand doubling strategy Considerations here are a little different from the
hard-hand doubling strategy. For example you don't want to double if you have
soft 19 or 20 (which would be A,8 and A,9) even though these hands could be
counted as 9 and 10. The following chart optimizes probabilities of winning
given the Soft-hand: D=Double
Down, X=Don't Double Splitting-pairs
strategy This is also very
important in order to maximize your odds of coming away a winner. You have to
split. Most casinos allow you to split all pairs although some casinos will
limit the splitting on Aces to once and online casinos usually limit splitting
in some fashion.. As I said in the beginners
strategy never split 10's or 5's for obvious reasons and always split Aces and
8's. Along with these hard and fast rules here are the rest of the combinations
and what to do to maximize your chances of coming out ahead. S=Split,
X=Don't Split Keep in mind that
if you can resplit follow the same chart. Surrendering and
Insurance I usually don't
enter into either of these options but if you must you can Surrender with 16,
when the dealer has 9, 10, A. Or Surrender with 15 when the dealer has a 10.
Never take insurance. MASTER CHART This chart
summarizes all the above charts and maximizes your odds at winning at the
casinos. H=Hit, S=Stand, SPL=Split,
Y=Surrender, D=Double Down ======================================= Personally
I like the idea of Card Counting but in Vegas I rarely can concentrate long
enough to do a good job at it. But if you can actually focus long enough to do
it, and not be detected by the Pit Boss, then go for it. Pit Bosses frown on
card counting and may toss you out. The basic
premise of card counting is that probabilities of winning change as the number
of cards remaining decrease. The cards remaining will increase your
probabilities of winning if there are a lot of high cards remaining or decrease
your probabilities of winning if there are a lot of low cards remaining in the
deck. The most
common system is to assign a value of +1 to the 2,3,4,5,6 as they are played. A
value of -1 to the 10, J, Q, K, A. The rest are given a value of 0. As cards are
dealt from a fresh shoe you keep a running total of the +'s and -'s. For example
if after the first hand from the shoe a 10, J, K, A, Q, J are dealt the count
would be -6. To be
effective though you also have to factor in how many cards remain. This is more
of an estimation on the part of the player but the less cards that remain the
more accurate the count. This is often called the True count. The true
count is determined by dividing the running count by the number of half decks
remaining to be dealt. Given that there are many decks involved this is an
estimation. For example if we had 2 decks left and the running count is +8 the
true count would be +2 (8 divided by 4 half decks) To win you
have to use the count when betting. You can use the true count to determine how
much to raise or lower your bet. Obviously you want to be betting more when the
count is higher to take advantage of your increase probability of winnning. Use
the following table as a a guideline for betting based on the true count.
Multiply the unit number by the amount of the minimum bet. Remember
while you probably don't want to bet when there is a big negative number you
still have to keep up appearances that you are not counting so you should
continue betting a small amount. ------------------------------------------------------------ http://www.blackjackcenter.com/blackjack3.html
(basics) -----------------------------------------------------------
------------------------------------------------------------- Because the dealer must play using the house rules he/she/it must always
hit with a hand of 16 or less and stand with a hand of 17 or more (some casinos
allow the dealer to hit on a soft 17). One of the dealer's cards is
face-up for all to see, and the following predictions for the dealer going bust
apply in a single deck scenario.
It can now be seen that the dealer has a better chance of busting when his
face-up card is a six or smaller value card, and less if the face-up card has a
value of seven or more. Using this information the following blackjack strategy
was developed:
Hard Hand Rules (When an Ace must be counted as one - uncommon) Soft Hand Rules (Ace counted as a one OR an eleven - typical) The basic strategy for playing soft hands is to double down when the dealer
has a high probability of busting (low value face-up cards).
In the event that you are dealt a card that changes your hand from a soft
hand (Ace = 11) to a hard hand (Ace = 1) then change strategies to the hard hand
rules discussed previously.
Casinos have different rules for doubling down; usually you can only double
down after you receive your initial two cards and before you draw a third card,
but some casinos will also only allow the option on certain hand values (usually
9, 10 or 11, sometimes 11 or less).
Hard Hand Rules for Doubling Down Soft Hand Rules for Doubling Down
All other splitting decisions are made depending on the dealer's face-up card
- in general split when the dealer is showing a low value face-up card. Split
when:
When playing multiple deck blackjack games you should only surrender when:
When playing two deck Blackjack games you should only surrender when:
Basic Strategy Chart for: http://www.blackjackheaven.com/basicstrategy.shtml
Atlantic City with 6 decks
Rules: Dealer stands on all
17s. Double allowed on any 2 cards. Double allowed after split. No surrender.
Hit or Stand on hard hands?
(WST's note: I usually stand on all 16)
HARD
Dealer shows:
Your Cards
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
T
A
17
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
16
S
S
S
S
S
H
H
H
H
H
15
S
S
S
S
S
H
H
H
H
H
14
S
S
S
S
S
H
H
H
H
H
13
S
S
S
S
S
H
H
H
H
H
12
H
H
S
S
S
H
H
H
H
H
11
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
H
10
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
H
H
9
H
D
D
D
D
H
H
H
H
H
8
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
Key:
H
Hit
S
Stand
D
Double if allowed; If not, hit.
(WST's note: These are more complicated scenarios)
SOFT
Dealer shows:
Your Cards
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
T
A
(A,9)
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
(A,8)
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
(A,7)
S
Ds
Ds
Ds
Ds
S
S
H
H
H
(A,6)
H
D
D
D
D
H
H
H
H
H
(A,5)
H
H
D
D
D
H
H
H
H
H
(A,4)
H
H
D
D
D
H
H
H
H
H
(A,3)
H
H
H
D
D
H
H
H
H
H
(A,2)
H
H
H
D
D
H
H
H
H
H
Key:
H
Hit
S
Stand
D
Double if allowed; If not, hit.
Ds
Double if allowed; If not, stand.
Should I split?
PAIRS
Dealer shows:
Your Cards
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
T
A
(A,A)
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
(T,T)
N
N
N
N
N
N
N
N
N
N
(9,9)
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
N
Y
Y
N
N
(8,8)
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
(7,7)
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
N
N
N
N
(6,6)
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
N
N
N
N
N
(5,5)
N
N
N
N
N
N
N
N
N
N
(4,4)
N
N
N
Y
Y
N
N
N
N
N
(3,3)
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
N
N
N
N
(2,2)
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
N
N
N
N
Key:
Y
Yes, split !
N
No, don't split !
----------------------------
Doubling down allows you to put more money on the table when the odds of winning
are good, and you should always bet the maximum amount allowed in these
situations. Doubling down should only be done when the player has a better
chance of winning than the dealer, or when you stand to earn more profit by
doubling down than by hitting the hand.
Double down when:
Double down when:
Some players split all pairs regardless of the pair value - this is not a
smart strategy. You should never split a pair of tens or a pair of fives. With
two tens you have a total of 20 which is more than likely to be a winning hand,
while a pair of fives total 10 and you have a better chance of drawing a 10 than
any other value for a win. You should always split Aces and eights. Again you
have a better chance of drawing a card worth 10 than any other and then you have
either 21 (for Aces) or 18 (for eights) - both are hard for the dealer to beat.
This is not a popular blackjack option, and is not offered in many casinos. You
surrender when you have a hand that has a very poor chance of winning. Upon
surrendering you stop playing and lose one-half of your bet (thus keeping
one-half of the bet rather than losing it all).
As a general rule you should not take insurance, it is a bad bet. We all get our
gut feelings sometimes, but the odds are never in your favor.Blackjack
- BASIC STRATEGY:
Dealer
Player
17-21
13-16
12
4-11
Dealer
Player
12
11
10
9
8
Dealer
Player
A,8-10
A,7
A,2-6
Dealer
Player
A,8-9
A,6-7
A,4-5
A,2-3
Dealer
Player
A,A
10,10
9,9
8,8
7,7
6,6
5,5
4,4
3,3
2,2
Dealer
Player
2-7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17-21
A,2
A,3
A,4
A,5
A,6
A,7
A,8
A,9
2,2
3,3
4,4
5,5
6,6
7,7
8,8
9,9
10,10
A,A
Card
Counting:
If
the true count is:
Bet
this amount:
any
negative number
1
unit
0
1
unit
+1
2
units
+2
3
units
+3
3
units
+4
4
units
+5
6
units
+6
6
units
+7
8
units
+8
10
units
+9
and above
12
units
Blackjack strategy for the past 15 years, since not long after computers became
reasonably priced and accessible, has revolved around one phenomenon: basic
strategy.
Basic strategy is a set of rules, which literally tell you if you should hit or
stand, for every possible situation you may come across in a blackjack game.
These pre-made decisions were determined by computer simulations run in the
mid-80s. Each situation one could be presented with was fed into the computer
simulation, and the program mapped out each decision the player could make, and
each of the statistical paths that could happen, and then presented the decision
that made the most money for the player. These 'most fruitful' decisions are
considered the basic strategy suggestion for each situation. Now, you may be
thinking, 'oh, I have to memorize a million different things?' - no, not really.
The basic strategy decisions can be viewed rather painlessly by referencing a
chart like the one below, and you'll soon see the majority of them are logically
sound.
Pair Splitting
PAIRS
Dealer's Upcard
Your Cards
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
T
A
(A,A)
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
(T,T)
N
N
N
N
N
N
N
N
N
N
(9,9)
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
N
Y
Y
N
N
(8,8)
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
(7,7)
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
N
N
N
N
(6,6)
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
N
N
N
N
N
(5,5)
N
N
N
N
N
N
N
N
N
N
(4,4)
N
N
N
Y
Y
N
N
N
N
N
(3,3)
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
N
N
N
N
(2,2)
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
N
N
N
N
Key:
Y
Yes, Split the pair.
N
No, Don't split the pair.
Soft Totals
SOFT TOTALS
Dealer's Upcard
Your Cards
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
T
A
(A,9)
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
(A,8)
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
(A,7)
S
Ds
Ds
Ds
Ds
S
S
H
H
H
(A,6)
H
D
D
D
D
H
H
H
H
H
(A,5)
H
H
D
D
D
H
H
H
H
H
(A,4)
H
H
D
D
D
H
H
H
H
H
(A,3)
H
H
H
D
D
H
H
H
H
H
(A,2)
H
H
H
D
D
H
H
H
H
H
Key:
H
Hit
S
Stand
D
Double if allowed; If not, hit.
Ds
Double if allowed; If not, stand.
Hard Totals
HARD TOTALS
Dealer's Upcard
Your Cards
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
T
A
17
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
16
S
S
S
S
S
H
H
R
R
R
15
S
S
S
S
S
H
H
H
R
H
14
S
S
S
S
S
H
H
H
H
H
13
S
S
S
S
S
H
H
H
H
H
12
H
H
S
S
S
H
H
H
H
H
11
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
H
10
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
H
H
9
H
D
D
D
D
H
H
H
H
H
8
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
Key:
H
Hit
S
Stand
D
Double if allowed; If not, hit.
Ds
Double if allowed; If not, stand.
R
Surrender if allowed; If not, hit.
To use this chart you compare the dealers up-card (which corresponds to each
column) with what you have in your hand (which corresponds to each row). Where a
column meets a row there is a decision, either hit (H), stand (S), double (D),
or decisions to either split or not split. Say your hand was a hard 15 and the
dealers up-card was a six. You find the table for hard totals, search across the
top row for the column corresponding to a dealers up-card of 6, and then follow
that column down from the top until you hit the row that lines up with your
total of 15. You'll find a (S) in the box, indicating that you should stand
(which is a logical choice, since the dealer most likely has 16 and will have to
hit, so therefore has a good chance of busting).
Our charts, like most you will find, highlight the decision structures for soft
totals, hard totals, and splitting. The table above represents a six-deck game
where the dealer must stand on soft 17s, where you can double down on any
initial total, doubling after splitting is allowed, and there is no surrender
offered. Different charts can be created for rule variations.
Different rules can have a defined effect on the house edge (relatively of
course, since the edge is defined by a number of variables, not the least of
which is playing strategy). To see how common rule changes affect your chances
of winning, look at the house edge numbers in the chart below.
Rule
Effect on Player
Expectation
Two decks
-0.32%
Four decks
-0.48%
Six decks
-0.54%
Eight decks
-0.58%
Dealer hits soft 17
-0.20%
Double down only on 11 (no soft,
no 10, no 9, no 8)
-0.78%
Double down only on 10 or 11 (no
soft, no 9, no 8)
-0.26%
Double down only on 9, 10, 11
(no soft, no 8)
-0.14%
No re-splitting of any pairs
-0.03%
Dealer wins ties
-9.00%
Natural pays 1 to 1
-2.32%
Natural pays 2 to 1
+2.32%
Double down on any number of
cards
+0.24%
Double down after splitting
pairs
+0.14%
Late surrender
+0.06%
Early surrender
+0.62%
Six-card winner
+0.15%
Players 21 pushes dealer's 10-up
Blackjack
+0.16%
Re-splitting of aces
+0.06%
Draw to split aces
+0.14%
Most blackjack strategy pages will follow one of two veins. Either they will
tell you to adhere strictly to basic strategy, or they will tell you to run on
your gut. I wouldn't say my opinion falls into either of those two camps,
perhaps a combination. I'm not a card counter, there isn't much point anymore in
99.9% of the casinos in existence. So discounting the benefits of keeping track
of cards, basic strategy truly is your best guide to decision making strategy in
blackjack, I can't argue with that. But anyone who's ever spent some serious
time in a casino knows there is more going on than meets the eye. You can't
ignore the fact that a hot craps table is a hot craps table anymore than you can
ignore the cut off point on the cocktail waitresses miniskirts. In blackjack
it's much the same. When you're winning and feeling good, surprisingly enough,
you tend to keep winning. I wouldn't normally say this, but I find I win the
most when I'm playing and things are going good, and I keep playing. I win a lot
more from streaks than I do from sitting down to small sessions. Maybe its
simply the fact that if you play for longer eventually you will hit a sort-of
streak, and that streak will probably even you up for the session, and so if
you're smart you'll walk away then and there. That would leave you with the
impression that it's all about the streak, when in actual fact it was more so
the fact that statistics have caught up with themselves.
This site is more about the no-bull approach than anything else, so in that
spirit I should really stick with the advice that pure basic strategy play is
the only way to go. Misplayed hands are the biggest mistake new players make. It
may be logical to think that standing on a 12 when the dealer has a 7 to an Ace
showing could cost you (as much as 25% of the hands you play), it's not often
considered that hitting a 15 against a dealers 5 or 6 up-card will cost you just
as much money.
The cause of this is often players simply forgetting the point of the game. As I
mentioned earlier on this site, the goal of blackjack is to beat the dealer, not
simply to get as close to 21 as you can without busting. Since we know the
dealer must hit up to a certain total an cannot hit beyond that, we must take
advantage of that fact. When a dealer has an up-card of 6, we must hope their
hole-card is a 10, and that they are going to have to hit. We must further hope
that when they hit they will be hit with something more than 5, and will
therefore bust. Because of this it's actually a good idea for us to stand and
take no more cards even if our total is as low as 12.
Splitting your initial cards is another area where novices often fail to follow
basic strategy. The golden rule for splitting is, always on aces and eights.
Meaning, if you are dealt two 8's as your initial cards, split them. Same goes
if you get two aces off the bat. You are always further ahead splitting those
hands. The logical counterpart to that rule is, never split fours, fives, or
tens (you already have a good hand or a good chance at one!). If the dealer is
showing busting cards (the up-card is 3 through 6) it's advantageous of you to
split a pair of sixes or sevens, since even two sixteens will be strong hands
against busting cards.
Most casinos allow an ace to be played as either a 1 or 11, whichever value is
most beneficial to the holder. When a player has an ace that is being used as an
11, it's referred to as a "soft hand". These hands are played
differently as the player cannot draw to a soft hand and bust (the player
just revalues the Ace to count as 1 instead of 11).
Hit if the dealer is showing 9, 10 or Ace.
Double if the dealer is showing 3, 4, 5 or 6.
Double if the dealer is showing 3, 4, 5 or 6.
Double if the dealer is showing 4, 5 or 6.
Double if the dealer is showing 5 or 6.
Double down when:
Double down when: